Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000983 0.001019 0.001056 0.001096 0.001138 0.001182 0.001231
2025-09-14 0.000911 0.000963 0.001018 0.001080 0.001149 0.001222 0.001307
2025-09-21 0.000853 0.000917 0.000985 0.001063 0.001153 0.001252 0.001372
2025-09-28 0.000812 0.000883 0.000962 0.001055 0.001164 0.001288 0.001442
2025-10-05 0.000761 0.000836 0.000920 0.001021 0.001142 0.001282 0.001462
2025-10-12 0.000732 0.000812 0.000902 0.001013 0.001147 0.001308 0.001519
2025-10-19 0.000712 0.000796 0.000892 0.001013 0.001163 0.001345 0.001591
2025-10-26 0.000689 0.000775 0.000876 0.001004 0.001165 0.001366 0.001642
2025-11-02 0.000673 0.000763 0.000869 0.001006 0.001180 0.001402 0.001715
2025-11-09 0.000655 0.000747 0.000856 0.000998 0.001183 0.001422 0.001767
2025-11-16 0.000636 0.000729 0.000840 0.000986 0.001179 0.001431 0.001803
2025-11-23 0.000630 0.000727 0.000844 0.000999 0.001208 0.001487 0.001908
2025-11-30 0.000620 0.000719 0.000840 0.001003 0.001224 0.001526 0.001994
2025-12-07 0.000604 0.000704 0.000827 0.000994 0.001224 0.001542 0.002045
2025-12-14 0.000588 0.000688 0.000812 0.000981 0.001217 0.001548 0.002082
2025-12-21 0.000576 0.000676 0.000801 0.000975 0.001219 0.001566 0.002137
2025-12-28 0.000554 0.000652 0.000775 0.000946 0.001187 0.001533 0.002108
2026-01-04 0.000543 0.000641 0.000765 0.000939 0.001186 0.001546 0.002155
2026-01-11 0.000535 0.000635 0.000761 0.000939 0.001196 0.001576 0.002232
2026-01-18 0.000525 0.000624 0.000751 0.000931 0.001194 0.001586 0.002276
2026-01-25 0.000519 0.000619 0.000747 0.000932 0.001205 0.001617 0.002359
2026-02-01 0.000509 0.000610 0.000739 0.000926 0.001204 0.001630 0.002410
2026-02-08 0.000499 0.000599 0.000728 0.000915 0.001196 0.001630 0.002438